When Bin Laden attacked on 9/11, a lot of people said we should have seen it coming. He had declared war on the United States in 1996. He had bombed American embassies in Africa. He had the will to attack. But Bin Laden still appeared a distant threat. Because it takes more than will to attack. It also takes the capability to attack. Threats come from someone with both the capability and the will to attack. It looks like this: Before 9/11, few understood Bin Laden’s capabilit